CHARTS: It's Starting To Look Like This Notorious Book On The End Of Growth Was Right

On the 40-year anniversary of The Limits Of Growth, Smithsonian magazine finds that this apocalyptic tale of resource depletion may be coming true.

We did some digging on the subject and turned up a report by physicist Graham Turner, who came to the same conclusion in 2008.

On the following charts, the green line shows the book’s baseline scenario, which sees resource depletion leading to a cataclysmic crash in 2030. The red line shows a scenario involving only technological solutions. The blue line shows a scenario involving technological and social solutions. As you can see from the purple line, we are within range of the book’s baseline scenario.

Here’s a chart of food per capita:

food per capita

Photo: Graham Turner

Services per capita have also increased on track with the book’s predictions:

services per capita chart

Photo: Graham Turner

We’re burning through non-renewable resources as expected:

image

Finally here’s a chart of rising global pollution.

pollution chart

Photo: Graham Turner

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