In the Real Clear Politics national polling average, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden maintains a steady 7.2% lead over President Donald Trump (51.1%-43.9%). Biden led in the final New York Times/Siena College surveys for Arizona, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Two new polls from Iowa reveal the difficulties that Democrats may […]

Pennsylvania, with its 20 electoral votes, is one of the biggest swing state prizes in the Electoral College. In the Real Clear Politics national polling average, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden maintains a solid 7.8% lead over President Donald Trump (51.3%-43.5%). In 2016, Trump won Pennsylvania by a slim 0.7% […]

Social media is well established as a major factor in American politics, but how voter preferences align with different platforms is less understood. Preferred social media platforms and how one uses them – such as simply browsing or posting regularly – are indicators of how Americans plan to vote, according […]

The polls in 2020 have largely been consistent, with Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, maintaining a steady lead over Trump. One of the notable trends emerging in the homestretch is Biden pulling away in Wisconsin, a key state Trump picked up in 2016. Biden’s lead there has grown from low […]

Former state Democratic Party chairman Jaime Harrison is challenging three-term GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham for the US Senate in South Carolina. Once thought to be a safe hold for the Republicans, the Senate race has become part of the expanded Democratic calculus for winning a Senate majority. Several major polls, […]

President Donald Trump is doing even worse in polls among older voters after his first debate against Joe Biden. Entering the debate, Trump trailed Biden by 4 points among voters 65 and older in the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll – but that number ballooned to 27 points afterward. A […]

Goldman’s David Kostin told CNBC on Tuesday that markets are expecting a blue wave election victory, citing polling and betting market data. The chief US equity strategist said that consequential moves in the market may not be that dramatic because a large fiscal stimulus may offset higher taxes proposed by […]

Joe Biden holds a sizable but steady lead over President Trump in the 2020 election, according to two national polls released on Sunday. Among likely voters, a New York Times/Siena College poll showed Biden leading Trump 49%-41%, while a Washington Post/ABC Poll found Biden ahead 54%-44%. Both polls show majority […]

President Trump continues to receive overwhelmingly negative marks from voters on his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, causing his poll numbers to plummet. Many Democrats, however, are wary to trust the accuracy of 2020 polls after the 2016 election, in which Trump defeated the heavily favoured Democrat Hillary Clinton. But […]

Until recently, President Trump’s most adamant supporters have been white evangelical Christians. However, new data suggests that while a majority still support him that percentage is slipping. Given Trump’s tight win in 2016, if these loyalists waver in 2020, then the president’s reelection prospects are in peril. Daniel Cox is […]

New polling shows President Donald Trump sinking into a deeper hole in key states. The coronavirus pandemic and nationwide protests were already coinciding with the erosion of his electoral college firewall, but the latest batch of New York Times/Siena college polls paint an even more dire picture. Trump is down […]

With less than five months until the election, it’s increasingly unlikely that President Donald Trump will be able to repeat his success in 2016, when he lost the popular vote but won the Electoral College. Trump has underwater approval ratings, is receiving poor marks for his handling of the COVID-19 […]

Lawyers for President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign demanded that CNN retract and apologise for an unfavourable poll released Monday that showed Joe Biden leading Trump by 14 points nationally. The poll, conducted for CNN by SSRS, surveyed 1,259 registered voters between June 2 and 5. It found that 38% approve […]

A Business Insider poll of more than 1,000 Americans found that 33% of respondents think they might have had the coronavirus. Of those who said they believed they had it, just 4.6% said they had been tested and diagnosed with COVID-19. Some evidence suggests the coronavirus may have been spreading […]

Republicans are swinging back towards Trump’s position on reopening the economy, a Politico/Morning Consult tracking poll found. A poll conducted May 8-10 found 55% of Republican voters were more concerned about the economic impact of the coronavirus, while 38% were more concerned about the public health impact. That’s a reversal […]

US President Donald Trump’s approval rating is down to 43.4%, after a slight decrease last month. The decrease coincided with his administration’s handling of the novel coronavirus, which most people disapprove of, recent polling analysis by FiveThirtyEight shows. According to the poll, fears of catching the novel coronavirus and its […]

Former Vice President Joe Biden‘s five-month run as the definitive frontrunner of the 2020 Democratic primary is coming to an end for three big reasons. To help make sense of where all the 2020 Democratic candidates stand, Insider has been conducting a recurring SurveyMonkey Audience national poll since December 2018. […]

Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden are pulling ahead of the Democratic presidential primary, but Americans aren’t convinced either candidate can beat President Donald Trump. Biden leads the field among likely Democratic voters with 31% support, while Warren has 25% support, according to a recent NBC News/Wall […]

Sen. Kamala Harris is seeing a big boost in INSIDER’s primary tracker following her contentious exchange at last week’s Democratic presidential debate with former Vice President Joe Biden, whose approval rating has simultaneously taken a hit. The percentage of likely Democratic primary voters who would be “satisfied” with Harris as […]

A large chunk of Americans who said they’d be satisfied with former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders as the 2020 nominee said they’d also be happy with Sen. Elizabeth Warren as nominee, a recent INSIDER poll found. Among those who said they’d be satisfied with Biden as […]

“Meet the Press” host Chuck Todd appeared on the “Today” show Monday morning to discuss the midterm elections. Todd said the voter turnout could cross the 100 million mark. Such a high turnout renders predictive polls practically useless, he said. Early voting numbers suggest that Tuesday’s elections will have one […]

Hedge funds bought polling data on the day of the Brexit vote allowing them to profit from the event, a Bloomberg investigation has shown. One hedge fund involved, Rokos Capital Management, made over a $US100 million. YouGov sold a private exit poll to one fund for $US1 million. Bloomberg said […]

President Donald Trump has faced intense, sustained media and political backlash to his immigration policies. But amid the controversies, Trump’s approval is near a high at 45%. That’s about what President Barack Obama was polling at this stage in his presidency. Many in the US don’t trust the media, potentially […]

President Donald Trump celebrated a poll that showed an upswing in his job approval rating by bashing his predecessor as “Cheatin’ Obama” on Twitter on Tuesday. Trump frequently cites Rasmussen, a right-leaning polling firm that consistently ranks Trump’s approval higher than other polling firms. Trump has had historically bad job […]

The British public are increasingly pessimistic about the future, according to an exclusive new poll for Business Insider. Around half of the country believes the UK is “heading in the wrong direction,” with just a third saying the opposite. Half of all women say they are financially worse off than […]

President Donald Trump’s job approval rating averaged 38.4% in his first year. His rating is the lowest for a president’s first year since Bill Clinton averaged 49.3% in 1993-94. Despite the low numbers, Trump continues to tout economic successes, including strong GDP growth, millions of new jobs created, and trillions […]

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