Markets

However Wrong ECRI Might Have Been, Recession Risk Remains

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) slipped again in today’s update. It is now at 129.1 versus the previous week’s 129.7 (revised from 129.6). See the WLI chart in the Appendix below. The WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) also eased, now at 7.6, down […]
However Wrong ECRI Might Have Been, Recession Risk Remains
Markets

According To ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan, We Are 8 Months Into A Recession

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) slipped in the latest public data. It is now at 129.7 versus the previous week’s upwardly revised 130.7 (previously 130.6). See the WLI chart in the Appendix below. However, the WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) rose, now at […]
According To ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan, We Are 8 Months Into A Recession
Markets

Why ECRI’s Weekly Recession Indicator Has Little Credibility

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) rose in the latest public data. It is now at 130.6 versus the previous week’s 130.4. See the WLI chart in the Appendix below. Likewise the WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) rose, now at 7.2, up from last […]
Why ECRI’s Weekly Recession Indicator Has Little Credibility
Markets

ECRI’s Imaginary Recession Is Now In Its 7th Month

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) rose in the latest public data. It is now at 128.3 versus the previous week’s 126.6 (which is an upward revision from 126.4). See the WLI chart in the Appendix below. Likewise the WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) rose, now at 5.1, […]
ECRI’s Imaginary Recession Is Now In Its 7th Month
Markets

Lakshman Achuthan’s Imaginary Recession Is Now In Its Seventh Month

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) rose in the latest public data. It is now at 128.3 versus the previous week’s 126.6 (which is an upward revision from 126.4). See the WLI chart in the Appendix below. Likewise the WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) […]
Lakshman Achuthan’s Imaginary Recession Is Now In Its Seventh Month
Markets

So, Is This The End Of ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan?

[credit provider=”Bloomberg” url=”http://www.bloomberg.com/video/ecri-s-achuthan-defends-call-for-u-s-recession-BhnZZoJ3S8GB6V9sFCeeTw.html”] Wall Street analysts put their reputations at risk everytime they publish a forecast.  And that risk rises exponentially when those forecasts go against the consensus.Few analysts have been more aggressive about their non-consensus calls than ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan, who predicted in September 30, 2011 that the U.S. […]
So, Is This The End Of ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan?
Markets

In Time, ECRI Could See Vindication Of Its Recession Call

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) slipped fractionally after eight consecutive weeks of growth. It is now at 126.3, down from last week’s 126.6 (revised from 126.7). See the WLI chart below. However, the WLI growth indicator (WLIg) now marks its seventh week in expansion territory at […]
In Time, ECRI Could See Vindication Of Its Recession Call
Markets

The Complete History Of ECRI’s Controversial Recession Call

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) rose for the eighth consecutive week, now at 126.7, up from last week’s 125.3 (revised from 124.7). See the WLI chart below. The WLI growth indicator (WLIg) now marks its sixth week in expansion territory at 3.8 (up […]
The Complete History Of ECRI’s Controversial Recession Call
Markets

ECRI’s Indicators Continue To Contradict ECRI’s Recession Call

The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) rose for the seventh consecutive week, now at 125.4, up from last week’s 124.7 (revised from 124.9). See the WLI chart below. The WLI growth indicator (WLIg) now marks its fifth week in expansion territory at 2.7 (up […]
ECRI’s Indicators Continue To Contradict ECRI’s Recession Call
Markets

The Shadow Indicators Show That ECRI’s Recession Call Is Getting Even Weaker

Each Friday I post an update on the public release of data from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). Dwaine van Vuuren, CEO of RecessionAlert.com, and his collaborators, including Georg Vrba and Franz Lischka, have developed a powerful recession forecasting methodology that shows promise of making forecasts with fewer false […]
The Shadow Indicators Show That ECRI’s Recession Call Is Getting Even Weaker