President Barack Obama‘s lead completely evaporated in this month’s Reuters/Ipsos poll series, falling to 45 per cent to 44 per cent against Republican challenger Mitt Romney.The Reuters/Ipsos poll series was one of the last reliable polls to show Obama with a comfortable lead on Romney. In March, Obama led by 11 points. Last month, Obama held a still-commanding 7-point lead nationally over Romney.
Look at how things have changed for Obama over the last six months:
Ipsos pollster Chris Jackson attributes the drop to Obama’s campaign struggles this month, driven by a worsening economic outlook:
“The economy is going through a rough patch, and that more than anything is going to determine President Obama’s future,” Jackson said in a release. “People’s unhappiness with the economy carries over pretty directly to the president’s numbers, and we see those weakening.”
The poll was taken after a disastrous May jobs report two weeks ago and Obama’s comment last week that the private-sector economy is “doing fine.” Some of the poll’s numbers — like a 6-point increase among people who think the country is on the wrong track — suggest that the grim news is starting to take its toll.
Other polls tell the same story. In late April, Gallup found that Obama held a 7-point lead on Romney. That’s down to a single point, in tracking from June 5-11. Last month, Fox News gave Obama a 7-point lead. Now he and Romney are tied. Obama’s ABC News/Washington Post poll lead went from 7 points in April to just 3 points last month.
The silver lining for the Obama team? 50 per cent of those polled still think Obama has helped the economy in the past three-plus years, compared with 44 per cent who think he has harmed it.
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