LIVE UPDATES: Joe Biden continues huge night with Arkansas Democratic primary victory

Robyn Beck/AFP via Getty Images; Samantha Lee/Business Insider
  • Joe Biden won the Arkansas Democratic primary.
  • Former Vice President Joe Biden notched a greater than 15-point victory over Sen. Bernie Sanders and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg in the Super Tuesday victory.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

Joe Biden won the Democratic primary in Arkansas.

The former Vice President earned a more than 15-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg in the Super Tuesday victory.

Live Arkansas primary results:

Biden and Sanders took home the majority of delegates from “The Natural State,” but despite struggling on the night, Bloomberg just barely eeked past the 15% benchmark for delegate viability in Arkansas. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, however, finished the night with roughly 10% of the vote and was therefore ineligible to earn delegates.

Catch up on live coverage from the primary:


Here’s how Democrats will elect their presidential nominee over the next several months

What’s at stake in the primary?

While Arkansas is a small state that holds just 31, or 0.8%, of the delegates allocated through the primary process and isn’t representative of the larger Democratic primary electorate, it is significant in its role as one of the first Super Tuesday states to close polls and report results.

Of the 31 pledged delegates:

  • 4 will be decided by the outcome of the vote in the 1st Congressional District
  • 6 from the vote in the 2nd District
  • 5 from the vote in the 3rd District
  • 5 from the vote in the 4th district
  • 11 from the statewide vote

DELEGATE COUNT: Here’s who’s winning the race for the 2020 Democratic nomination

Former Vice President Biden looked to carry his success from South Carolina into Arkansas after underwhelming performances in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada. He has exceeded expectations considerably, winning Virginia, North Carolina, Minnesota, Alabama, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, and Massachusetts in addition to Arkansas.

Hillary Clinton won the Democratic Arkansas primary in both 2016 and 2008. Her ties to the state go back to her husband’s tenure as attorney general and later governor of Arkansas in the late 1970s and early 1980s. None of the current Democratic primary candidates have an apparent tie to the state.

Who does the polling say is ahead?

By all accounts, we were in for a tight race in Arkansas. The state, which President Trump won with 60.57% of the vote in the 2016 general election, was likely to skew towards the moderates in the Democratic primary race. Former New York City mayor Mike Bloomberg looked to earn his first delegates of the primary on Super Tuesday, and he expected to be competitive in Arkansas.

The most recent primary polls prior to the election had shown Biden and Bloomberg as favourites to win the greatest voteshare and, therefore, the most delegates in the state. Sen. Bernie Sanders trails close behind in third place, respectively.

According to RealClearPolitics’ average of the latest polling data, Bloomberg led the field with 20.0% support on average compared with 19.0% for Biden, 16.0% for Sanders, 11.0% for Warren, 6.5% for Buttigieg, and 5.0% for Klobuchar, the latter two of whom had since dropped out and endorsed Biden.

FiveThirtyEight’s election forecast gave Biden a 45% chance of getting the most votes, followed by Sanders, who had a 28% chance of earning the most votes.

Business Insider Emails & Alerts

Site highlights each day to your inbox.

Follow Business Insider Australia on Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, and Instagram.