RESULTS: GOP Rep. French Hill projected to fend off challenge from Democrat Joyce Elliot in Arkansas' 2nd District

  • Republican Rep. French Hill is projected to win reelection against Democratic Joyce Elliot in Arkansas’ 2nd District.
  • Polls began closing in the district at 9 p.m. local time.
  • The Central Arkansas district includes the state’s capital of Little Rock and the surrounding counties.
  • See the live coverage and full results from all US House elections
  • Elliot was recently added to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s “Red to Blue” program which aims to assist the campaigns of top-tier candidates.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

Republican Rep. French Hill is projected to beat Democratic candidate Joyce Elliot in Arkansas’ 2nd Congressional District.

The candidates:

Hill, a former bank CEO and economic policy adviser under the George W. Bush administration, has represented this seat since 2015 and is now seeking a fourth term in Congress. He first ran for the seat in 2014 when the previous representative, Tim Griffin, retired to run for Lieutenant Governor.

In Congress, Hill serves on the powerful House Financial Services Committee and is Ranking Member of the National Security, International Development, and Monetary Policy Subcommittee. He’s voted in line with President Donald Trump 97% of the time since 2017, according to FiveThirtyEight.

Elliot grew up in rural Arkansas and was a public high school teacher before going into politics. She was first elected to the Arkansas State House of Representatives in 2000 and then to the State Senate in 2008, where she represents District 31 in Little Rock.

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Her campaign platform emphasises expanding access to affordable healthcare and COVID-19 care in Arkansas, prioritising economic relief for workers and businesses from the effects of COVID-19, and making education equitable.

Recently, Elliot was added to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s “Red to Blue” program for top-tier candidates. Hill has been criticised as being a rubber stamp for Trump’s agenda and the interests of big corporations.

In 2018, Hill defeated his Democratic opponent in the general election by a margin of six points, 52% to 46%. A recent internal poll conducted for Elliot’s campaign by ALG Research from October 16-21 found Hill and Elliot tied at 47% each among likely voters.

The district

Arkansas’ 2nd District includes the state’s capital city of Little Rock and some surrounding suburbs.

This seat is located in a deep red state, and the district may seem safely Republican at first glance. But as election data analyst Noah Rudnick first argued in April, demographic trends — including a growing population of young families settling in the Little Rock suburbs and a steadily increasing share of nonwhite voters — could make the district more competitive for Democrats this year and beyond.

According to the Daily Kos, the district backed 2012 Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney by a margin of 12 percentage points and voted for Trump in 2016 by 10 points, 52% to 42%.

The money race:

So far, Hill has raised $US3.1 million, spent $US2.1 million, and has $US1 million in cash on hand, according to the Centre for Responsive Politics. Elliot has raised $US2.9 million, spent nearly $US2.7 million, and has over $US261,000 in cash on hand.

What some of the experts say:

The race between Hill and Elliot is rated as a tossup by Inside Elections and The Cook Political Report and “leans Republican” by Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Centre for Politics.

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